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Oz Cyclone Chasers - Australian Cyclone Video Update - March 7, 2013
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Oz Cyclone Chasers - Australian Cyclone Video Update - March 7, 2013
  • Published_at:2013-03-07
  • Category:Science & Technology
  • Channel:ozcyclonechasers
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  • description: Tonight's video firmly focuses on TC13U (soon to be called Sandra). Sandra is expected to be named tomorrow before rapidly intensifying starting tomorrow night. The Bureau of Meteorology predict that the cyclone is likely to hit Severe Category 3 status in 48-72 hours. The movement of Sandra is the hot topic of conversation, and overall the next three days of movement is being modelled very well. We expect a NE movement followed by an East movement tomorrow and followed by an ESE movement on Saturday and eventually a more south to south-easterly movement on Sunday. After that time, the steering flow breaks down and movement becomes very difficult to model accurately. In the extremely long term (mid to late next week) we see some global computer models drift the system back to the South-West but as they do so, an increase in vertical wind shear and decrease in Oceanic heat content means the cyclone may not be a cyclone anymore. Other guidance continues to push the system southwards well away from the Queensland coastline. Also late next week we may see the formation of a new LOW in the Northern Gulf Of Carpentaria or far Northern Coral Sea. There is no clear indication of a dominant steering flow at the time, but it is still very early days yet. Next update Jan 8 (no update on Jan 9)
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2013-03-09 4,212 12 6 (Australia,#69)